College Football, Florida Gators

How is Kyle Trask a different QB than Feleipe Franks?

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With his performance against Tennessee last week, the Trask Hive was loud and proud.

Florida Gators gear at Fanatics.comAnd deservedly so. He was incredible against the Volunteers, especially in an electric first half where he averaged 14.6 yards per attempt.

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Inevitably, Trask is going to be compared to his predecessor, Feleipe Franks. Franks has taken a ton of criticism since he took over as starter in 2017. Some of that was warranted, but he was getting better with time under Dan Mullen.

If it isn’t obvious just by the eye test, Kyle Trask and Feleipe Franks are very different players. But I thought it would be interesting to look at how they are different.

Excluding the cupcake game against UT-Martin, Franks has thrown the ball 44 times to Trask’s 41. While those are still extremely small sample sizes, I do think analyzing where they threw the ball and how deep they threw it says something about the type of QBs they are.

To do that, I looked at their statistics overall and charted every throw for both QBs in the Miami, Kentucky and Tennessee games.

Overall, Franks and Trask are actually relatively even.

Comparison of Yards above Replacment (YAR) of Feleipe Franks and Kyle Trask against FBS opponents in 2019. (Will Miles/Read and Reaction)

Trask has been slightly better in his time compared to Franks. But the difference is fairly negligible given the sample size. Franks actually gets downgraded using my YAR statistic by virtue of having 10 more rushing attempts compared to Trask.

While he’s averaging more yards per rush, his average of 2.1 is still below the average of NCAA QBs and so subtracts from his value. That’s not really his fault, as the Florida offensive line hasn’t been able to push the pile the same way it did in 2018.

Conversely though, Trask has had to do more work downfield compared to Franks.

Franks vs. Trask in 2019 vs. FBS opponents taking into account yards after the catch. (Will Miles/Read and Reaction)

Owing to the long TD by Kadarius Toney in the opener versus Miami, Franks has received a lot more help from his receivers when it comes to his averages. If we subtract the yards after the catch (YAC) for each completion, Trask is throwing the ball downfield considerably more, by more than 2 yards.

And that shows up in the charted stats as well.

Franks and Trask in 2018 vs. FBS opponents based on distance thrown past the line of scrimmage. (Will Miles/Read and Reaction)

What we really see is that Franks is much more comfortable throwing the ball within 9 yards of the line of scrimmage (27 attempts to Trask’s 17) while Trask throws in the mid-range much more often (18 to Franks’ 11).

Not only is Trask throwing in the 10-19 yard range more often, but he’s more accurate as well (72% to 64%). The result is that 53 percent of his yardage has come from throws in that range, compared to 23 percent for Franks.

Franks and Trask in 2018 vs. FBS opponents throwing to their left, right and center. (Will Miles/Read and Reaction)

That’s because Trask also throws over the middle a lot more (14 attempts to 6 for Franks). Some of that is because defenses have played a lot of zone against him. But Franks has always struggled with zones precisely because he hasn’t been willing to throw over the middle a lot.

Looking at the film, these two actually show some similarities as well.

This is the beginning of the terrible interception that Franks threw against Kentucky on the opening drive. What you’ll notice is that the safeties are parallel to each other at the snap, but that the free safety comes up at the snap.

That means there is one safety in the middle of the field who can’t get to the outside. Van Jefferson beats the corner on the left side of the clip and is open for a touchdown if Franks pulls the trigger. For some reason, he doesn’t make the throw.

But Trask made similar mistakes against Tennessee.

This time the free safety comes up to guard the crossing receiver. That means there are two receivers up top with three defenders. You can see Trask hesitate to make the throw and ends up taking the sack.

Now, without the All-22 film, there’s no way to know if his man had beaten the corner. But this is a situation where you got the defense to do what you want. You have to let the ball go.

But that’s really nitpicking. Trask was great against the Volunteers. You can pick any QB and you’ll find plays where they hesitated.

The thing that really impressed me with Trask was how he handled the blitz, particularly considering what I saw from the offensive line when looking at the film.

On this play, the linebacker for Tennessee comes on a blitz. But left tackle Stone Forsythe (#72) gets completely turned around. The result is that the linebacker has a free shot at Trask, who throws a dangerous throw over the middle.

I’d like to see this throw in the dirt as opposed to off of his receiver’s hands just because of the risk of the interception. But that’s not why I’m impressed. Look at the next play.

It’s the same blitz. Trask trusts his offensive line and steps into the throw and his line does its job. The result is a big third-and-long conversion.

I still think the way to get to Trask is to blitz him. Once Tennessee started bringing more than four defenders, he was no longer able to sit back and pick apart the Volunteers’ defense. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that he only averaged 6.4 yards per attempt in the second half.

Of course, he would have averaged much more had he hit this one.

And the fact that Trask got hit on a blitz on one play and stepped into the throw against the same blitz on the next play shows an ability to forget about the previous play and learn from it all in one. That really bodes well for Trask’s development as the season progresses.

The takeaway here is that Trask’s performance in the first two games where he’s gotten real action is really encouraging, not just because he has put up good stats but because of how he is putting them up.

I don’t think the stats say that Trask is a ton better than Franks. What I do think they are telling us is that Trask has a different set of strengths that leads to a different way of moving the ball.

It just so happens that those strengths are more aesthetically pleasing because he’s taking more shots down field.

He still had three turnovers in the game and was indecisive at times against an overmatched team. He also had brought very little in the running game thus far, which is an area where Franks really brought value. With the way the Gators have run the ball thus far in 2019, this may be an issue in a close game.

Better defenses are on the way, and those defenses now have film to look at what Trask does well and take that away. How he adapts is going to be a key to look for moving forward.

Going into the Tennessee game, you had to wonder whether someone who hadn’t started since early in high school would be overwhelmed. Tennessee may not be very good, but Trask didn’t flinch at all.

The “off field issues” that the media (ESPN) has allowed to become a narrative regarding Feleipe Franks is grossly unfair. But what I do think is fair is acknowledging that he clearly has heard the criticism, so much so that he shushed his own crowd last year.

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But one thing we never saw was Franks buckle under the criticism. In fact, playing with a chip on his shoulder seemed to help him excel.

At some point, Trask is going to hear that criticism too. It may be after a critical interception or after struggles against better teams.

But after his performances against Kentucky and Tennessee, I think we can be pretty sure that just like Franks, the criticism won’t make him flinch either.

This week’s pick: Florida (-33) wins, 45-10.

Picks this season: 4-0, 1-2-1 ATS

Featured image used under Creative Commons license courtesy Photo-Gator

 

12 Comments

  1. Rusty

    Thank you for the analysis Will. I’ve been a fan of your work since the beginning of last season when I began visiting your site. I’ve always appreciated your numbers-centric approach to analysis and your insight into recruiting has been stellar. However, I cannot shake this feeling that you’ve been biased towards supporting Franks and that you’re stubbornly defending your position that Trask is not far and away an upgrade over Franks (something that most fans are believing currently). The reason why I say bias can be pointed out in this article. You compare the YAR of Franks and Trask and even though Trask’s score is considerably higher, you make excuses (small sample size, poor rushing yardage on more attempts). Essentially, you are saying the numbers don’t tell the whole story, which is something we both agree on. However, when the stats make it seem like that the two are marginally similar you are quick to state that the numbers don’t show any conclusive evidence of Trasks superiority. This is contradictory, you either believe the numbers tell the story or you don’t. Since I don’t believe that numbers tell the whole story, I trust also what my eyes tell me and it shows Trask possessing the skills and composure needed to be a higher tier of QB than Franks. I think if you were honest you would say the same thing. The two clips you showed that you headlined as showing the two quarterbacks being similar and making similar mistakes actually made me laugh as it completely disproves your assertion. In one clip, Franks panics behind a line that his holding up to the pressure, he jitterbugs left and right looking incredibly indecisive before lofting up that terrible pass that got picked. In the clip about Trask, we see him calm in the pocket, slide left to give himself more time, keeps his eyes downfield and is looking exactly where you pointed out he should pass the ball. Neither numbers or our eyes can tell us why he didn’t pass it, because our frame of reference doesn’t let us see the actual route ran by the receiver but you criticized him for not throwing it anyways. The only mistake that I saw that he made was he simply held onto the ball for too long and ate the sack, which is far and away a lesser mistake than throwing a pick. Granted, Trask threw two picks and fumbled himself so I’m not saying he was perfect. The jury is still out on Trask and Tennessee is a terrible team, last year Franks had a good game against them too and less than a full season later I was ready to see someone else take snaps under center because I was convinced he wasn’t the QB we needed to fulfill the immediate goals our team allowed us to have. Thanks for reading this book of a post if you actually do, keep up the analysis, I still eagerly await your articles whenever you post during the week

    • Comment by post author

      Will Miles

      I don’t think anyone can say for sure, at this point, that either Trask or Franks are better because we don’t have enough tape on Trask to know. What we can do is look at what they do well and what they don’t, and try to infer that answer. Just because he looks smoother or more decisive doesn’t mean he’s better. It may, but I need more than a win at home against a team that lost to Georgia State to say that definitively.

      There is a segment of the fan base that will think Franks isn’t any good no matter what the stats say. That’s fine, that’s their opinion. I chose to change my opinion of him after the last four games last year because he earned it. He continued to play at that level to start the season. The reason the offense struggled was turnovers and the running game. The turnovers he could control. The running game he cannot.

      QBs do a lot of things you don’t see. Getting the offense into the right protections, audibling out of a bad play, making decisions on RPOs are just a few. I have no idea whether Trask will be able to do that effectively against a complex defense. If he does, great. But it’s dishonest to say I know he’ll have Florida in the right play late in a close game. I believe Franks will because he’s done it wrong and right in his career.

      If Trask ends up with YAR over 2.0, I’ll write an article saying I was wrong and that he is definitively better. I have no problem admitting that. I’d just like to see more than a win over a really bad Vols team first.

      • Rusty

        Thank you for the reply! I’m honestly humbled and I have a greater understanding of your thought process. I may have been unclear in my original post but I am not saying that Trask is a shoe-in for leading us to the Playoffs. You are completely correct in that there is simply too many unknowns about him and his ceiling. I could very well end up eating these words, but I appreciate the excitement and hope Trask has brought to the offense (I will admit it could just simply be the novelty of a new starting QB). With Franks, we had a solid idea of what he could do. I know you were saying he was improving but I don’t think his trajectory of improvement was fast enough to fit our short term goals of fully utilizing the talent we have on our current roster. Next year after the majority of our veteran receiving corps move on the argument can be made that we’ll need a Franks-like QB but this year we need a QB who isn’t afraid of zones or passing more than 9 yards past the LOS. Thanks again for your input Will. Keep up the great work and Go Gators

  2. Impressive analysis. Hope Trask continues progress (and hold on to the ball).

  3. Spike

    Just FYI on the clip of the Trask sack. It was a hot read to Copeland who didn’t turn around so I believe it helped lead to the sack.

  4. Todd Santana

    The eye test, the offense appears to be in sync with Trask at the helm. The comeback against Kentucky was a tall order for anybody, but Trask made it look almost effortless. When a player can impact a game and make it look routine that player is special. He reminds me of Weurrfel alot!!!

  5. Gatormiami

    We can only imagine where Trask would be today if given the advantages afforded to Frank’s over the last 2 years. That’s game experience as well as
    1st team reps in practice.

  6. Tiffany

    I was going to comment similarly to Todd. The offense seems to flow better under Trask. I was not one of the Franks haters because I could clearly see improvement from him, and from all accounts he works hard. But Trask came in under very difficult circumstances and made it look like he had been first team the whole time. Any way to measure this more objectively, than it just feels smoother?

  7. R.

    While I agree that Frank’s isn’t as bad as critics will make him seem there are often times where he can be jittery, sporadic, and overly emotional as a qb. None of those characteristics have stopped him from being a fairly competent qb for us. I do believe that Trask is a better fit for the current roster than Frank’s. Trask simply seems to do a better job of just delivering the football to our best playmaking group which is the pass catchers. As long as he can keep his decision making fairly simple I think Trask can keep us on track.

  8. Charles Ariz

    After watching the slate of Saturday games on Sept 28, including the Towson game, I’m really worried. I closely watched the O-Line play today, missing and slipping blocks against FCS Towson. This unit looked ghastly.

    Watching the Auburn – Miss St game today, I fear that a similar result awaits the Gators next week. Auburn could very well hang 50 on the Gators next week. I’m not sure how we could even break the 50 yard rushing mark next week against the Auburn D-line. I wouldn’t be surprised if Auburn, LSU, and Georgia each hang 50 on this team. After seeing how Miami and Kentucky have turned out so far, I think we will be exposed as a mirage #9 for all the nation to see over the next several games. – Chaz UF’90